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O Bitcoin mal se recuou diante da melhor tentativa de recuperação do dólar em mais de um ano. O dólar está tentando encenar uma reviravolta contra a divisa criptográfica superior, que deixou a moeda de reserva global danificada e batida.

Embora o Bitcoin tenha conseguido resistir ao avanço em USD, se a história se repetir e o dólar subir, uma fase de baixa a curto prazo pode estar chegando ao mercado de criptogravura em breve.

O Dólar Mal Derrotado Começa a Rebentar e Saltar

2021 até o momento tem sido o melhor ano recorde da Bitcoin. 2020 estava entre os piores do dólar, já que o sentimento tornou-se negativo e os temores de inflação empurraram os investidores para ativos duros como ouro e criptografia.

Entretanto, de acordo com o DXY Dollar Currency Index, que pesa o dólar em relação a um balde de outras moedas nacionais, um retorno está em andamento.

O gráfico acima mostra o DXY saindo de um padrão de cunha em queda, e voltando para baixo para re-testar a antiga linha de resistência como suporte. Com o reteste completo, deve resultar em um empurrão mais forte.

Até agora, o Bitcoin não foi afetado pelo avanço do dólar, apesar de metade do principal par de moedas criptográficas com a moeda fiat.

Coincidindo com a quebra da cunha de queda, em prazos mais altos, o MACD – um indicador de momento – está começando a subir. Exemplos passados do mesmo padrão de quebra para cima combinados com um crossover em alta no MACD levaram a uma sustentação para cima no DXY.

Como uma inversão no Greenback poderia enviar o Bitcoin para um mercado de ursos

Embora a principal moeda criptográfica por limite de mercado tenha sacudido a recuperação do greenback até agora, uma fase de ursos poderá estar chegando em breve, o que atrasará a tendência atual de alta por algum tempo.

Cada vez que o MACD cruzou em alta no DXY, isso levou a um mercado estendido de ursos em Bitcoin, como ilustrado abaixo.

Bitcoin tem sido uma tendência de alta por quase um ano inteiro – desde a quinta-feira negra em 2020 – mas o tempo pode estar se esgotando. O MACD ainda não atravessou completamente, mas começou a virar para cima.

No entanto, nem tudo está perdido para Bitcoin e para o resto do mercado de criptografia. Uma cabeça e ombros inversos em prazos altos poderia ter sido completada no DXY, o que, após um retorno à linha de tendência para confirmá-la como resistência, poderia resultar no maior colapso da história do dólar, e seu eventual desfazer.

Tal cenário sugere que uma fase de urso em Bitcoin chegará mais cedo do que tarde, mas que será muito mais curta do que os mercados de urso anteriores, e uma vez terminado, a principal moeda criptográfica por limite de mercado poderia assumir completamente o papel de moeda de reserva global.

É claro, não há como dizer o que o dólar poderia fazer a partir daqui, ou se desta vez for realmente diferente.

 

Synthetix DAO ha agregado algunas voces nuevas, quizás sorprendentes, a su gobierno.

Hoy, el protocolo de activos sintéticos anunció una recaudación de fondos de $ 12 millones de dólares liderada por las firmas de capital de riesgo Paradigm, Coinbase Ventures e IOSG

Los fondos compraron tokens SNX directamente de la tesorería de DAO y „contribuirán siempre que sea posible proporcionando liquidez en forma de garantía SNX, y también participarán en su sistema de gobierno comunitario en rápida evolución“, se lee en el anuncio.

„Estamos entusiasmados con el apoyo a SynthetixDAO en la construcción de la plataforma líder de activos sintéticos“, dijo Arjun Balaji, socio de inversión de Paradigm. „Synthetix tiene una de las mejores comunidades en cripto y estamos contentos de ser parte de ella“.

La inversión se destaca por ser una de las primeras instancias de fondos que invierten directamente con y a través de un proyecto gobernado por una DAO. La forma en que los VC interactúan con los protocolos regidos por DAO ha sido un tema candente en los últimos tiempos, y algunos argumentan que los VC no deberían recibir un trato preferencial, mientras que otros dicen que los VC son bienvenidos, como cualquier entidad, a participar en un ecosistema abierto.

Un hilo de Tweet reciente de Hayden Adams, el fundador de Uniswap, defendió trabajar con VC, siempre que sean los correctos.

Jordan Momtazi, un colaborador principal de Synthetix DAO (y ex director de operaciones de Synthetix antes de la descentralización de la gobernanza), está de acuerdo en que se trata de los fondos con los que trabaja un protocolo.

“Muchos VC no agregan mucho valor. El delta entre los VC de calidad y el resto es bastante grande ”, dijo en un comunicado a Cointelegraph

Cada uno de los tres capitalistas de riesgo que se unieron al aumento de $ 12 millones está aportando un valor adicional a la mesa que un inversionista individual podría no poder reunir, dijo Momtazi.

“Paradigm ha estado ayudando al protocolo a reclutar talento a través de su red y recursos humanos internos. También han estado ayudando activamente a pensar en nuestra planificación v3. Proporcionar información sobre los enfoques en torno a nuestra re-arquitectura ”, dijo Momtazi. „Coinbase ventures ha ayudado con la conectividad en muchas funciones, tanto internas como externas“.

Mientras tanto, IOSG está ayudando a encabezar el impulso de Synthetix en China al ayudar con la contratación de un líder regional de China, así como con „presentaciones itinerantes en persona y creando contenido educativo en chino“.

El aumento se produce durante un período especialmente productivo para Synthetix. El equipo anunció recientemente el lanzamiento de acciones sintéticas de Tesla, y SNX fue uno de los tokens que, según muestran las presentaciones, podría ser el próximo en figurar como un fideicomiso de inversión en escala de grises.

Es un impulso que Momtazi espera que los últimos miembros de la comunidad puedan ayudar a llevar adelante.

The bulls are stopping Bitcoin’s nightly downturn while the altcoins are in positive territory.

Hopes that Bitcoin ( BTC ) would climb back above the $ 40,000 mark was put on hold on Friday night after new selling pressure developed against resistance .

As the data from Cointelegraph Markets and TradingView show, the Bitcoin price has since slipped to a low of 34,368 US dollars before it went back to 37,300 US dollars.

The background to the slack could be that the rumors about Joe Biden’s planned Corona aid package initially caused a surge during the week, but this is slowly fizzling out, as it is becoming more and more clear that some of the package’s demands are probably not feasible.

In addition, Christine Lagarde, the head of the European Central Bank (ECB), had recently expressed disapproval of the market-leading cryptocurrency , which in her opinion favors money laundering. Meanwhile, a British wealth advisor has filed a petition aimed at banning crypto transactions entirely in the UK.

Financial markets are also weak

However, political and social headwinds are probably not the only reasons for the return of Bitcoin, because the other financial markets are currently facing increased selling pressure.

The two important American stock indices, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, also fell slightly, losing 0.72% and 0.73% respectively. The Dow Jones was meanwhile able to successfully defend itself against the bears and at least achieved a plus of 0.3%.

An expanded look at the markets shows that gold and silver are down 1.07% and 3.17%, respectively, while the oil market and US Treasuries with 10-year maturities are also down 2.93% and 3.59% % slip.

Altcoins defy the trend

Only the altcoins can defy this trend. Chainlink ( LINK ) managed an upswing of 13.9% overnight , which catapulted its price to US $ 20.50. Cosmos ( ATOM ) crowns itself the winner of the last 24 hours with an increase of 21.62%, which puts a new price of 7.81 US dollars on the table.

For Ether ( ETH ), however, the situation is similar to that of Bitcoin. The second largest cryptocurrency loses 4.8%, dropping to $ 1,172.

The total market capitalization is currently 1 trillion. US dollars, with Bitcoin’s market share being 68%.

Le prix du Bitcoin (BTC) a atteint un nouveau record de plus de 42 000 dollars le 8 janvier. Le Bitcoin a corrigé fortement après avoir augmenté à 42 000 dollars mais s’est depuis redressé pour s’échanger au-dessus de 40 000 dollars. Les fourchettes de Bitcoin hard forks, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) et Bitcoin SV (BSV) sont actuellement en hausse.

Le Bitcoin Cash a dépassé la résistance technique à 490 $ pour atteindre un sommet intrajournalier de 654 $, gagnant 39,33 % par semaine. Le Bitcoin SV a augmenté rapidement pour atteindre un nouveau record de 325 $ aujourd’hui, s’approchant de son plus haut niveau historique de 441 $, le 14 janvier 2020.

Bitcoin SV (BSV) est à l’origine une fourchette de Bitcoin Cash, qui est elle-même une fourchette de Bitcoin. L’attention portée au jeton Bitcoin SV a été largement limitée en faveur de jetons bien connus comme Ethereum et XRP.

La mini „Altseason“ semble être déjà là, avec 17,71 % et 14,58 % de gains quotidiens qu’EOS et Tron ont respectivement affichés. Dogecoin est également en hausse de 10 % par rapport au quotidien, ce qui s’inscrit dans le prolongement des gains réalisés lorsqu’il a bondi de 70 % lundi dernier à la suite de sa promotion par le PDG de Tesla et l’homme le plus riche du monde, Elon Musk.

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) se négocie actuellement à 619 $, en hausse de 42,03 % sur la journée, tandis que Bitcoin SV (BSV) se négocie à 289 $, en hausse de 58 % sur la journée.

Antoni Trenchev, co-fondateur et associé gérant de Nexo, a récemment déclaré que les fondamentaux de Bitcoin Cash feront grimper son prix jusqu’en 2021. Affirmation :

„BCH a une série d’atouts dans sa manche : une communauté bien éduquée, des investisseurs fidèles, la distribution au détail et des cas d’utilisation réels. Nous pensons que ces avantages pourraient faire passer BCH d’un outsider à un médaillé en 2021 si seulement Bitcoin Cash se montre à la hauteur“.

Bitcoin Cash sera évalué à 800 $, puis à 10 000 $ en 2027, avec un objectif final de 100 000 $ d’ici 2030.

Roger Ver estime que „BCH est bien plus utile que BTC pour tout et il a bien plus de potentiel d’augmentation, plus quelque chose est utile, plus les gens l’utiliseront“, a-t-il ajouté en prédisant une augmentation du nombre de détenteurs et d’utilisateurs de Bitcoin Cash en 2021.

Ver a déclaré que „2021 sera la meilleure année pour BCH à ce jour, en raison du protocole de confidentialité intégré à Tor et décentralisé qui masque les dépenses réelles, ce qui permet une confidentialité super forte pour Bitcoin Cash“. Deuxièmement, BCH dispose maintenant d’un système de financement par la foule pleinement opérationnel grâce à Flipstarter, un produit DeFi public appelé AnyHedge, de nouveaux jetons émis par Simple Ledger Protocol (SLP), d’un système de basculement instantané sur chaque plateforme via le portefeuille de Bitcoin.com, ainsi que d’une acceptation sur plus de 100 000 sites web via le fournisseur de paiements cryptés Bitpay et près de 100 000 commerçants physiques via le réseau GoCrypto.

Le „Very Extreme Peak“ de Bitcoin

Dans l’ensemble, le sentiment du marché à l’égard de Bitcoin reste positif malgré les gains réalisés au cours des trois derniers mois. Eric Wall, CIO d’Arcane Research, a déclaré sur Twitter que Bitcoin pourrait connaître un „pic très extrême“ cette fois-ci. Cela signifierait que même si Bitcoin pouvait être surchauffé d’un point de vue technique à court terme, BTC a encore une marge de croissance supplémentaire.

À un prix actuel d’environ 40 000 dollars, la capitalisation boursière de Bitcoin est estimée à plus de 740 milliards de dollars. Avec une valorisation de l’or de 9 000 milliards de dollars, la capitalisation boursière de BTC serait d’environ 8,2 % de la valeur de l’or.

Les prévisions haussières de Bitcoin, comme celles des „jumeaux Winklevoss“, suggèrent que Bitcoin pourrait dépasser l’or à long terme. Sur la base de cette estimation, certains analystes affirment qu’il est réaliste que Bitcoin atteigne 10 à 20 % de la capitalisation boursière de l’or.

M. Wall a noté que Bitcoin atteindra probablement un sommet lorsqu’il y aura soi-disant beaucoup de „mousse“ sur le marché. S’il y a un niveau anormalement élevé de battage autour de Bitcoin, la probabilité d’un pic temporaire de Bitcoin augmentera. Toutefois, M. Wall a déclaré qu’étant donné le niveau sans précédent de l’intérêt institutionnel pour Bitcoin, le prochain pic pourrait être beaucoup plus élevé que ce que beaucoup pensent.

Tens of billions of XRP on exchanges are eligible for a new airdrop.

The SPARK aidrop will be allocated proportionally to all XRP holders in the exchanges.

The Flare network, behind the SPARK token, wants to integrate Ripple’s smart contracts and DApps.

XRP, the native cryptocurrency of the Bitcoin Lifestyle app network and the third largest crypto by market cap, is forcing its users to scramble to place all of their XRP on eligible exchange platforms in order to participate in SPARK’s next airdrop .

SPARK is the native cryptocurrency of the Flare Network. The new blockchain uses the Flare consensus mechanism to integrate “ Ethereum ” -type capacities on the Ripple network.

What are the objectives of the Flare network?

The Flare network has grown over the past two years. It was only recently, however, that he began to publicly promote his networking plans.

By integrating the Ethereum virtual machine into the Flare network, XRP users will now be able to create and use Ethereum-based smart contracts and applications .

The Flare Network is a Ripple -backed start-up that wants to fundamentally change the way XRP can be used. By creating features that enable decentralized applications, Ripple may be able to branch out beyond just payment settlements to attract a whole new base of developers and customers.

21 billion XRP are eligible for the SPARK airdrop

The Flare network leads the SPARK airdrop through a variety of small and large pre-selected exchanges. These include Binance, Coinbase , Bithumb, UpBit, and many more.

The Flare network has aggregated data related to XRP. And according to one Twitter user, almost 100,000 individual accounts are set up to receive the SPARK airdrop. These accounts have over 21 billion XRP in total.

Ethereum has seen lackluster price action in the past few days as Bitcoin leads the crypto market into a consolidation phase.

ETH will likely continue to move sideways until BTC finds a clear direction

The critical level for ETH seems to be around $ 600 right now, as the selling pressure here has proven to be significant in the past.

Any break above this level was short-lived and followed by strong rejection.

It is therefore imperative that Ethereum make a swift and decisive breakthrough above this level in the coming days.
A trader believes a rebound is imminent as he is now looking at $ 780 as a short term upturn target.

Ethereum and the entire cryptocurrency market have been hit by an intense consolidation surge in the past few days.

It did so amid Bitcoin’s efforts to hit new all-time highs – despite the fact that the asset has been hovering just below it for a good week.

ETH’s price action was strikingly similar to Bitcoin’s, but what happens in the near future will largely depend on the reaction to the $ 600 mark.

One trader believes that a break above this level could be imminent – followed by a parabolic rise that will take ETH towards $ 800.

Ethereum is struggling for momentum amid consolidation

Ethereum is currently listed (buy now? Click here for instructions) at a price of $ 597. For the past few days, ETH has stayed below $ 600, with any break above that level being temporary.

This price action did little to provide investors with insight into Ethereum’s medium-term outlook. And until Bitcoin can hit new all-time highs above $ 19,800, there is a good chance the entire market will remain relatively calm.

Trader sees ETH move towards $ 800

A trader wrote in a tweet that a move towards $ 800 is possible in the near future: over $ 700 and specifically even $ 780.

He suggests that $ 620, which has not yet been broken firmly, is the key level that could trigger this move higher.

“Another good week that ETH is close to the upward trend. The $ 620 is still the area above which price has to break to the upside if ETH can break that level – it can really fly. With next goals over $ 700 and $ 780 a week. “

In the medium term, the entire market development depends on Bitcoin, although this bullish Ethereum rally will probably only come into play when BTC sets new highs.

DeFi-Projekt im Rampenlicht: BarnBridge, eine institutionelle Brücke zu DeFi

BarnBridge konzentriert sich auf die Aufteilung von Krypto-Risiken in Buckets (Tranchen), so dass Marktteilnehmer je nach ihrem Risikoprofil in verschiedene Produkte oder Vermögenswerte investieren können.

BarnBridge bringt traditionelle Instrumente des Risikomanagements und festverzinsliche Wertpapiere in die DeFi ein.
Das Angebot des Protokolls bei Bitcoin Profit könnte institutionelle Akteure ansprechen, die in die Kryptotechnik einsteigen wollen.
Die Plattform befindet sich noch im Anfangsstadium ihrer Einführung. Das Produkt soll im 1. Quartal 2021 teilweise eingeführt werden.

Die möglichen Auswirkungen der Kryptotechnik auf das traditionelle Finanzwesen (TradFi) und Institutionen werden seit Jahren diskutiert. Leute wie Blythe Masters, der bei der Schaffung der berüchtigten Credit-Default-Swaps half, interessierten sich für Bitcoin, lange bevor der Preis über 19.000 Dollar stieg.

Eine der stärksten Störfaktoren in der Blockkette war die Automatisierung. TradFi hat Dutzende von Zwischenhändlern in jedem Dienst, von denen jeder die Kosten für die Endbenutzer erhöht. DeFi kann diese Kosten senken.

DeFi hat zwar ein erhebliches Potenzial, einer Industrie, die Billionen von Dollar wert ist, etwas zu entziehen, aber sein Ökosystem ist noch nicht reif genug, um die institutionellen Bedürfnisse zu befriedigen. Viele bekannte TradFi-Primitive müssen in die Blockkette portiert werden, bevor die großen Akteure in Massen ankommen.

BarnBridge ist eines der Projekte, die die DeFi-Funktionalität erweitern, um ihre Flexibilität und Effizienz zu erhöhen. Das Team befasst sich mit einigen Schlüsselaspekten der institutionellen Tätigkeit, wie Risikomanagement und Zugang zu festverzinslichen Instrumenten.

Das Problem der traditionellen Finanzen

Risiko ist der Eckpfeiler jeder Art von Finanzmanagement. Ob Einzelperson oder Großunternehmen, jeder Marktteilnehmer muss seine Risikobereitschaft einschätzen.

Der Umgang mit Risiken ist für Institutionen aufgrund der Komplexität ihrer Operationen kritischer und anspruchsvoller. Daher müssen große Akteure ihr Engagement in verschiedenen Finanzinstrumenten fein abstimmen, um zu verhindern, dass sie unter Wasser gehen, wenn die Dinge schlecht stehen.

Hinzu kommt, dass Unternehmen Verbindlichkeiten haben, so dass sie stetige Cashflows benötigen, um diese zu erfüllen. Vorhersehbare Einkommensströme ermöglichen eine Finanzplanung, die wiederum bei der Ausarbeitung langfristiger Entwicklungsstrategien hilft.

Festverzinsliche Einkommen sind auch für Vermögensverwaltungsunternehmen von wesentlicher Bedeutung. Je größer ein Portfolio ist, desto mehr muss man über Kapitalerhalt statt Kapitalwachstum nachdenken. Daher ist es für Vermögensverwalter sinnvoller, kleine, aber regelmäßige Gewinne über risikoarme Anlageinstrumente zu erzielen.

Mit Hilfe von festverzinslichen Instrumenten wie Staats- oder Unternehmensanleihen können Institutionen und Vermögensverwalter einen Teil der Risiken aufgeben, um ihre Investitionen sicherer und berechenbarer zu machen.

Das Problem der festverzinslichen Wertpapiere sind die Trends in der Geldpolitik der Regierungen. Zum Beispiel hat die Federal Reserve den Zinssatz im Jahr 2020 auf 0-0,25% gesenkt.

The BLOX crypto exchange has been given the green light to operate in the Netherlands, making it the first consumer-oriented platform to receive clearance in that country following the country’s implementation of the European Union’s Fifth Money Laundering Directive (AMLD5).

„BLOX is the first crypto-company tailored for retail investors to be entered in the register of the Dutch Central Bank“, the trading platform announced in a blog entry published today. It goes on to say: „This registration is mandatory in the Netherlands for any company that wants to enable its users to buy, sell, trade and hold crypto-currencies“.

The Dutch-based crypto service provider AMDAX BV was the first company to make the headlines in October of this year to receive the relevant approval, but the AMDAX is aimed primarily at large investors. „The AMDAX offers investments from 2.5 Bitcoin upwards for companies and private investors who have a portfolio“, as it had written in its October announcement. 2.5 BTCs have a current equivalent value of almost 30,000 US dollars.

A list of approved crypto service providers by De Nederlandsche Bank NV, the central bank of the Netherlands, includes Blox BV and Anycoin Direct, which has also received its approval.

„BLOX enables small investors to invest in digital currencies from as little as 1 euro“, as the crypto exchange explains in its blog entry. It concludes: „With its approval, the Dutch central bank has thus made crypto-currencies available to the general public.

Meanwhile, Deribit, a trading platform for crypto-derivatives, had fled the Netherlands in January 2020 to avoid having to comply with the stricter requirements of the new money laundering directive.

Bitcoin’s transaction costs rose to their highest level since August last Thursday. If payments are going to be a little bit more expensive, we have to compare them with early 2018, when the Bitcoin mania peaked.

Bitcoin transaction fees

Transaction costs have risen sharply in recent days. On BitInfoCharts you can see how this has been going lately.

Over the last four days, we have seen a sudden peak, an increase of 231%. It is, of course, the result of Bitcoin’s price increase. People are becoming active and doing more on-chain transactions, for example, to and from stock exchanges.

Last Thursday, it cost an average of $6.3 to get a transaction in the Bitcoin blockchain and the news Spy. The cost had not been as high since the beginning of August. Yesterday, these costs fell to an average of $5.7.

Looking at the chart, the current situation is comparable to August and May 2020, July 2019 and June 2018. At that time, costs did not rise any further. This did happen at the end of 2017, to an average of more than $50 per transaction. If you compare the last three years with 2017, it is not all that bad now.

Full memo pool

The cost of Bitcoin increases due to a number of parameters of the protocol:

• one block per 10 minutes on average;
• a maximum of 1MB of payments (excluding SegWit) is allowed in such a block;
• the miners choose from the mem pool the payments with the highest fees.

The combination of these factors ensures that the payments with the highest transaction costs are given priority. If the number of transactions increases (e.g. due to a price increase), the mem pool becomes fuller. This can also be seen in the image below.

By the way: Bitcoin payments do not necessarily have to be expensive. You can use all kinds of on-chain tricks (such as batching and segwit addresses) to save on costs. And if you’re not in a hurry, you can also add 1sat/byte to the payment.

There’s also a second layer on top of Bitcoin: the Lightning Network. This allows you to make payments quickly and cheaply. THNDR Games is a textbook example of this.

With their mobile Lightning game, they have already handled more than 150,000 transactions for an average of 0.59 sats per payment (0.00064 euros).